NBC: Democrats are nervous about Trump’s persisting edge over Biden on the economy

I spoke to NBC News‘ Sahil Kapur about President Trump’s ongoing advantage on the economy according to public opinion surveys, and what it means for his closing message.

Trump’s other message — that Biden is controlled by anarchists who are inciting violence and crime in major cities — has fallen flat in polls.

Liam Donovan, a lobbyist and former GOP operative, said Trump’s “appeals to law and order definitely resonate with his base” but probably won’t move undecided voters. A positive economic message, however, could be a better closing argument.

“If President Trump is going to win four more years, it is because voters are hopeful about the future, not fearful. After a bumpy 2020, people are looking for some semblance of normalcy or at least hope,” he said. “The recent jobs numbers and anticipated GDP data could easily be worked into the argument that things are under control and moving in that direction.”

Read the full piece here.

Continue Reading

Bloomberg Opinion: The NeverTrump Movement’s Surprising Core

I spoke to Bloomberg Opinion columnist Frank Wilkinson about what to make of the fact that erstwhile GOP consultants–a group hardly known for their firm principles–are the ones pushing back against President Trump.

Their turn against Trump is unlikely to be profitable; they surely could’ve reaped millions had they toed the Trumpist line. Meanwhile, the notion that they are somehow poised to compete for control of the Democratic Party is nonsensical on its face. 

Still, these are successful, veteran consultants who have already reaped years of lucrative fees (along with valuable business connections). They are in a position to challenge Trump, says Republican consultant Liam Donovan in an email, “particularly those who have made their mark and can afford to lean into a sense of conscience.” Elected politicians must measure acts of conscience against the likely wrath of the electorate, Donovan adds. But consultants, “however profit-driven they may be, or have been in their prime, always have a constituency of one.”

Read the full piece here.

Continue Reading

WFTV: The Marathon is Now a Sprint

I spoke to Chris Heath of WFTV Orlando about the post-convention campaign picture, and what to watch for down the stretch.

“The real voting is going to be locked in very soon,” says former Republican aide Liam Donovan. “The top-line numbers for Joe Biden didn’t move, but they were good enough that it was diminishing returns anyway.”

Donovan notes that voters on both sides are now consolidating behind their candidates, leaving a limited number of low-turnout and undecided voters available.

“We’re sort of squinting and trying to see what might be on the horizon to bring this race back to where it is expected to be and right now it’s just not feeling that way,” says Donovan.

Watch the full segment here.

Continue Reading