WFTV: The Marathon is Now a Sprint

I spoke to Chris Heath of WFTV Orlando about the post-convention campaign picture, and what to watch for down the stretch.

“The real voting is going to be locked in very soon,” says former Republican aide Liam Donovan. “The top-line numbers for Joe Biden didn’t move, but they were good enough that it was diminishing returns anyway.”

Donovan notes that voters on both sides are now consolidating behind their candidates, leaving a limited number of low-turnout and undecided voters available.

“We’re sort of squinting and trying to see what might be on the horizon to bring this race back to where it is expected to be and right now it’s just not feeling that way,” says Donovan.

Watch the full segment here.

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The Lobby Shop: TIME’s Molly Ball on Nancy Pelosi, the Politicization of School Reopenings, and More

This week we are joined by Molly Ball, TIME National Political Correspondent, CNN Political Analyst, and author of NYT bestseller Pelosi, released this May. Liam and Josh host a discussion about Nancy Pelosi’s influence over key political moments in her House career and her ever-evolving role in American politics, as well as a lengthy dive into Molly’s recent reporting on the politicization of reopening schools amidst the continued COVID-19 crisis.

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What to Watch on Super Tuesday

We enter Super Tuesday with a race as wide open as any we’ve seen–it’s as if you replayed a bizarro version of 2016 but with an untested walk-on candidate who had previously existed only on paper (give or take a half a billion dollars in paid advertising.)

If Biden continues the breakaway pace we have seen over the past 48 hours, he is going to be hard to stop, whether by Bernie or anyone else. If Bloomberg manages to hold his poll numbers, or perhaps even add to them with the exit of Amy and Pete, this is a very different race. And if Bernie can withstand the Biden resurgence, rack up delegates, and emerge with a three digit margin, the race might come full circle in a little less than 72 hours.

Below is my curve for judging the returns:

It sure feels like a big Biden night is in order, but I guess that’s why they play the games.

And for good measure, here is my squad at the polls.

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