NYT: Could Elon Musk bring Trump back to Twitter?

News’ of Elon Musk’s acquisition of Twitter harkened back to a conversation I had with Bloomberg‘s Joshua Green last year, positing a theoretical scenario where a Trump return to the platform lent unforeseen tailwinds to Democrats.

Blake Houndshell of the New York Times‘ On Politics newsletter took note, and asked me what a return could mean for the midterms.

“Dems would be delighted to have him back, if only to change the subject from inflation and ineffectuality,” said Liam Donovan, a Republican lobbyist in Washington.

“Republicans who are paid to win elections would have considerable heartburn,” he added.

Read the full piece here.

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CNN: Trump’s endorsement power will be put to the test as May primaries approach

I spoke to CNN‘s Mike Warren about the struggles of Trump’s primary picks and what it means and doesn’t mean for his power within the party.

“What it tells me isn’t that Trump has lost his touch, but that he made some objectively questionable picks that didn’t pay off,” said Liam Donovan, a Republican strategist. “In some cases he made picks on a lark, in some he made them because he had a personal ax to grind. There are still a number of messy primaries where his input could make a big difference.”

Trump’s imprimatur can’t and never could make poor candidates into good ones, and more often than not, Trump has bet on lame horses. But this focus on his failure obscures the fact that every GOP nominee will eagerly kiss the ring. In that sense, he already won.

Real the full piece here.

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“The Breakdown” VS “The Bottom Line”

I faced off in a friendly “debate” with my colleague Yasmin Nelson on year one of the Biden administration, the outlook for the midterms, and what if anything might happen in the interim. Yasmin is a former senior economic advisor to then-Senator Kamala Harris, and somebody I trust and rely on for insights into what leading Dems are doing or should do. Her analysis runs alongside my “Bottom Line” in our weekly PRG reconciliation update, and she has her own newsletter under The Breakdown banner.

Listen via The Lobby Shop wherever you get your podcasts, or watch below.

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Insider: Republican economic agenda is ‘just a vibe’ right now

I spoke to Insider‘s Joseph Zeballos-Roig about the fallout surrounding Senator Rick Scott’s “Rescue America” platform and its significance heading into the 2022 midterms.

The Florida Republican is widely viewed as a future presidential contender. Liam Donovan, a lobbyist and former GOP political operative, said he believed the entire proposal was meant to burnish Scott’s conservative credentials ahead of a potential 2024 run.

“This is all kind of vibes-based, riffing off of popular themes,” he said in an interview. “And I think there’s open questions as to how any of those would translate into actual legislation.”

It’s possible that it won’t amount to more than a messaging effort. Other planks of the platform was comprised of a 12-year term limit on all federal employees and members of Congress, slashing the IRS budget by half, outlawing government collection of racial data, and ensuring all federal legislation sunsets after five years. “If a law is worth keeping, Congress can pass it again,” the plan stated. That may mean re-approving landmark laws such as the American with Disabilities Act or Social Security Act on an ongoing basis.

“I just don’t think it is deep enough to be taking the Republican Party back anywhere or even forward anywhere because it’s just a vibe,” Donovan said. “This is meant to get your email address and get you to open your wallet.”

“The provocation is the point,” he added.

Read the full piece here.

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Boston Globe: A Georgia primary battle tests the power of Trump

I spoke to Jess Bidgood of the Boston Globe about the early performance of Trump-endorsed midterm candidates and what it says about his enduring power within the GOP.

“The question is, can you recover from anything that is being seen as remotely disloyal?” said Liam Donovan, a Republican lobbyist and former aide to the Senate GOP’s campaign arm. “Any would-be challengers . . . they’re going to feel a lot more comfortable putting the pieces in place with the expectation that, even if Mr. Trump gets mad and fires off some nasty press releases, that’s not going to be a dealbreaker with the voters.”

Read the full piece here.

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