TIME: Trump’s New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020

I spoke with Brian Bennett from TIME Magazine about the Trump campaign’s efforts to expand the map in 2020.

Trump’s political strategists say they aren’t carving out a new path to 270 electoral votes and instead want to run up the score. In the 2016 race, the Trump campaign didn’t have the luxury of time or a huge war chest. “Last time we had a better air game than ground game,” Kushner says. “This time, we’ve had a couple of years to prepare. We’ve refined our data and political operation. We’ve invested $50 to $60 million over the last couple of years to make the data significantly better.”

Not everyone is buying it. Trump’s sagging job approval ratings suggest to many political observers that the map-broadening is a reflection of a search for a long shot way back to the White House. Liam Donovan, a Republican strategist, says that the Trump campaign is right to be trying to get more voters to show up and to branch out into new territory. “There are reasons to compete in all these places,” Donovan tells TIME. But, Donovan says, “he’s not going to win any of these places if he’s still at 43 approval in the RCP average,” referring the average of Trump job approval polls published by RealClearPolitics.

Read the full piece here.

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National Journal’s Against the Grain Podcast: Populism Across the Pond

I joined Josh Kraushaar of National Journal for his Against The Grain podcast, where we discuss a wide range of topics from the transatlantic rise of populism, to handicapping the 2020 election, to the Democrats’ marathon climate town hall. It was a fun conversation and I hope you’ll check it out. (Please excuse the mug shot.)

https://soundcloud.com/user-765340169-697541373/populism-across-the-pond

 

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Bloomberg Tax: Proponents of Renewing Tax Extenders Hope to Catch ‘Last Train’

I spoke to Colin Wilhelm and Stu Basu of Bloomberg Tax about the cloudy prospects for extenders in light of the clean budget-debt deal.

Still, tax professionals tracking the process acknowledge that extenders can only be kept on life support for so long without congressional renewal.

“If it doesn’t happen in September you’re suddenly approaching a two-year lapse,” said Liam Donovan, a principal at the law firm Bracewell LLP. “And staff has indicated that there’s a point of no return for the 2018 tax year.”

Read the full piece here.

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CNBC: How California Should Handle Taxing its Tech Unicorn Companies

I joined CNBC’s Squawk Box this morning along with Mattie Duppler to discuss the coming tech IPO boom, its impact on tax revenues, and how governments will react to the prospective windfall.

How California should handle taxing its tech unicorn companies from CNBC.

As I argue here, and I’ve said before, ambitious progressive policies will require huge amounts of new revenue, more than you can get from simply ratcheting up marginal rates. Wealth tax proposals along the lines of Senator Elizabeth Warren’s plan are where the puck is headed, and the danger is that it carries significant populist appeal that transcends party–to wit, early polling numbers show majority approval of such policies…and that’s just among Republicans. While it won’t happen in the near term at the federal level, single-party towns like Sacramento have both the policy appetite and the political will to be a wealth tax laboratory. Like Willie Sutton, revenue-hungry politicians go where the money is–and in California, that’s big tech and its IPOs.

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