Daily Beast: Kevin McCarthy’s Fall is a Body Blow to the GOP Money Machine

I spoke to Jake Lahut of the Daily Beast about the impact of Speaker McCarthy’s ouster on GOP prospects in light of his vaunted political and fundraising operation.

With McCarthy now relegated to the House Republican rank and file after his historic ousterfrom the speakership this week, the campaign cash void he leaves behind might be as concerning to Republicans as the literal power vacuum in the House.

Liam Donovan, a lobbyist and former GOP campaign strategist, succinctly described the impact of McCarthy’s removal: “obviously huge shoes to fill, wildly disruptive, terrible timing.”

“Scalise is best positioned to hit the ground running and scale up what already exists,” Donovan said.

Read the full piece here.

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POLITICO Mag: Everyone Played Their Part

I wrote a short piece for a POLITICO Magazine series on the sacking of Kevin McCarthy and what it says about our politics.

No one should shed any tears for Kevin McCarthy. He got the job he sought his entire career, performed as well as anyone could have reasonably anticipated, and kept the balls in the air longer than he probably had any business doing. Caught between unstoppable force and immovable object, in the end, McCarthy chose to accept his fate rather than contrive some untenable transactional truce. Whatever his future in Congress holds, he’ll have a long second act as a Republican wise man, and his ouster will be mythologized into partisan martyrdom.

Nor can you blame House Democrats for declining to fend off — whether by action or inaction — a beast of the right’s own creation. In the end, they chose to serve as Matt Gaetz’s executioner because they could; because their deepening mistrust of the speaker eclipsed any perceived value in his ongoing survival; and because affording any measure of grace — even out of partisan self-interest — would have been met with fury by a base whose contempt for McCarthy matched the caucus’ own.

Even Gaetz, the jester of the GOP, achieved his vainglorious end, setting into motion a political trolley problem that accomplished what he couldn’t or wouldn’t by himself, and, perhaps most importantly, casting himself as the star of the show.

Ultimately the tragedy of this week — and for the immediate future of congressional politics, it is a tragedy — is that everyone involved acted rationally, almost clinically so, according to their respective incentives. The calculus that prompted McCarthy to cheat his own destiny as long as he did was vacated along with his office, and the circumstances surrounding his defenestration have already eroded what few bipartisan courtesies had survived to date. So long as the nihilist’s veto exists — newly operationalized, and suddenly with precedent — even the baseline functions of government will be in question.

Changing the rules of the House is a start. But so long as voters continue to channel their frustrations with Washington by sending people committed to burning it down, the cycle of dysfunction will continue.

Read the entire forum here.

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The Lobby Shop: Special Episode on House Speaker Drama

Special 🚨 Speaker madness episode

We tracked Liam down between media interviews to get his take on the historic vote last night that ousted Speaker McCarthy. Liam, Josh, and Paul discuss the tensions within the GOP and with Democrats leading up to the vote, who has put their hat in the ring to be the next Speaker, and what this all means for issues such as funding for Ukraine.

Listen to the full episode here.

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NPR: GOP makes history when 8 hard-liners succeed in ousting House Speaker McCarthy

I joined NPR‘s Morning Edition to discuss the aftermath of the historic vote to vacate the office of the Speaker, and what (and who) comes next for the House of Representatives.

NPR’s A Martinez talks to Republican strategist Liam Donovan about what it says about the state of the GOP when a small group of Republican rebels was able to topple the speaker of the House.

Listen to the full segment here.

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The Economist: Kevin McCarthy’s Sacking Deepens the Chaos in American Government

I spoke to The Economist‘s Adam O’Neal for his piece on Kevin McCarthy’s ouster as Speaker and the implications for the House broadly and Ukraine funding specifically.

The immediate task will be funding the government. The deal to avert a shutdown keeps the government going with a “continuing resolution” (cR) only until November 17th. A Republican strategist, Liam Donovan, reckons Mr Gaetz might be satisfied with Mr McCarthy gone, but other hardliners will not easily accept a long-term funding solution simply because a fresh face is running the House. Government will have to be funded “in a way that is even more anathema to these Republicans than the CR,” Mr Donovan says. Mr McCarthy’s replacement could soon be overseeing a shutdown. Averting a closure could potentially cost the new speaker his job.

Read the full piece ($) here.

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