I wrote a new piece about the ouroboros of cynicism that initially propelled and to this day protects President Trump from offenses that would have long since felled mere mortal politicians. I’ll send it over to Maggie for the pull quote:
Read the full piece here.
I spoke with CNBC‘s John Harwood about the dynamics of public opinion on impeachment, and what the polling might mean for Trump as it relates to the GOP.
A CBS News poll found 23% of Republicans backing an impeachment probe. In a USA Today survey, 30% of Republicans called it “an abuse of power” for Trump to ask Ukraine to investigate Biden.
Even if they haven’t broken with their party’s president, those Republicans pose a particular danger to Trump, who once bragged that he could shoot someone on Fifth Avenue in New York without losing support.
“The willingness to hear this out is a sign that you’re not a Fifth Avenue Republican,” says GOP strategist Liam Donovan.
Read the full piece here.
For the record, and as I told John for this piece, I am wildly skeptical that you will see many–if any–Republican defections in either chamber. As I have said, there is zero near-term political incentive to remove your party’s President. Combustible primary dynamics aside, there is simply no reason to believe that a vote to remove Trump will earn you more support from the President’s critics than it will lose you among his most ardent fans. At best, ugly numbers could liberate some Senate Rs to vote on the underlying merits, along the lines of their outgoing colleagues. But ultimately there’s a strong argument for allowing the voters themselves to render this judgement, especially heading into an election year, and–for better or worse–I fully expect this to be the approach of even the most furrowed brows in the GOP conference.
This week I joined Christopher Heath of WFTV for the Battleground Florida podcast. We had an excellent, wide-ranging discussion about impeachment politics, the democratic primary, and the 2020 electoral map. Check it out, subscribe, and throw Chris a follow on twitter while you’re at it.
Veteran political analyst Liam Donovan (@LPDonovan )joins the podcast from Washington DC where Congress is on recess, the President is on Twitter, and the Georgetown University Hoyas are getting ready for another season on the hardwood. Donovan works at a DC government relations and strategic communications firm, but his resume includes four years working to get Republicans elected to the US Senate. In this episode we’ll talk impeachment, the shifting Midwest states, shifting sunbelt states, what Trump needs to do in 2020 to win, is the Democratic field weak or strong, and what happens if the electoral college ends up at 269-269?