Nevada: Battle Born Battleground with Jon Ralston
This week’s episode is part of PRG’s Pulse election coverage. Friend of the pod and veteran political journalist Jon Ralston of The Nevada Independent joins The Lobby Shop team for a Pulse Check on what is arguably the most pivotal Senate race in the country. The gang discuss the candidates, political dynamics, demographics, electoral history and more to shed light on why Jon’s #wematter hashtag is more apt than ever.
This episode was also featured in Axios:
🔮 Nevada’s oracle “devastating” threshold
The Nevada Independent’s Jon Ralston, renowned nationally for his Nevada election analysis, broke down on The Lobby Shop podcast the key factor that will decide Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto’s nail-biter against Republican Adam Laxalt:
“The Hispanic vote here in Nevada is somewhere between 20% and 15% of the electorate, depending on what the election cycle is. … I have seen no polling that shows Catherine Cortez Masto with the kind of lead she needs among the Hispanic vote. And their only hope is what Democrats have said to me for years here — that a large percentage of the Hispanic vote makes up its mind late, and are driven to the polls by the Democratic turnout machine. But if she doesn’t get well over 60% of the Hispanic vote, if Laxalt can get 40% or more of the Hispanic vote, I think that’s devastating for her.”
Ralston’s bottom line: “If the first Latina ever elected to the U.S. Senate cannot crush Adam Laxalt in the Hispanic vote, she is going to lose, and that is probably going to be a signal to the rest of the country about what’s going on.”