We enter Super Tuesday with a race as wide open as any we’ve seen–it’s as if you replayed a bizarro version of 2016 but with an untested walk-on candidate who had previously existed only on paper (give or take a half a billion dollars in paid advertising.)
If Biden continues the breakaway pace we have seen over the past 48 hours, he is going to be hard to stop, whether by Bernie or anyone else. If Bloomberg manages to hold his poll numbers, or perhaps even add to them with the exit of Amy and Pete, this is a very different race. And if Bernie can withstand the Biden resurgence, rack up delegates, and emerge with a three digit margin, the race might come full circle in a little less than 72 hours.
Below is my curve for judging the returns:
And for good measure, here is my squad at the polls.